From Rob, KD1CY
Hello to all….
….High Wind Warning is in Effect for All of Southern New England for Today
and Tonight….
….Strong Winds to At Least Wind Advisory Criteria will continue into
Friday….
….Wind Damage in pockets is Likely Over a Wide Swath of Southern New
England. The greatest threat is over the higher elevations and coastal areas
but all areas could see potential wind damage in pockets. People Should
Prepare for Possible Power Outages especially over coastal locations and the
higher elevations….
….SKYWARN Self-Activation is Requested Beginning at 11 AM This Morning.
SKYWARN Formal Activation Could Occur anytime after Noon Today….
….ARES and RACES Groups Should Closely Monitor This Situation and consult
advice from appropriate ARES and RACES leaders. Activation Could Occur in
localized areas hit hardest by the wind damage….A High Wind Warning is in effect for today and tonight for all of Southern
New England. Winds will pick up this morning across the entire region. By
Midday, stronger winds with wind gusts up to 60 MPH will begin to impact the
region and continue through tonight. In Western New York, wind gusts to 60
MPH have already been measured and Automated Observing stations in their
region. These winds will be enough to cause wind damage and potential
infrastructure damage to trees and power lines resulting in power outages.
These winds could maintain similiar intensity or slowly die down into Friday
but at least wind advisory critieria could be met during Friday. This
prolonged and strong period of winds could cause a prolonged period of wind
damage to the region. The strong winds are being caused by a very intense
storm system combined with strong high pressure causing a very tight
pressure gradient across the area. It is also noted that a Storm Warning is
in effect for the entire Southern New England coastline.
SKYWARN Self-Activation is requested at Noon for the entire area. Ops at NWS
Taunton could occur beginning around or shortly after noon. If Ops at NWS
Taunton are not done, we will do Ops from the W1AEC, SEMARA (Southeast
Massachusetts Amateur Radio Association) station in South Dartmouth,
Massachusetts. This station will provide sufficient capability to reach much
of the same area as NWS Taunton. SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio
Operators are requested to report wind gusts of 46 MPH or greater and any
wind damage via the Amateur Radio Nets that will get active over the course
of the afternoon. It is possible that a net may not be active at first but
then activate as wind damage reports are received or specific requests have
been made to activate.
The strength of the winds plus the duration of the event has prompted
concern that enough infrastructure damage could occur to cause shelter
openings and a possible ARES/RACES response to some areas. Please monitor
guidance from RACES/EMA and ARES leadership personnel from your area in case
this occurs. In the Eastern Massachusetts section, ARES Section Emergency
Coordinator, Mike Neilsen, W1MPN, has asked all ARES personnel in Eastern
Massachusetts to be on stand-by in case enough infrastructure damage occurs
over a localized area to cause ARES Activation for shelter openings or
damage assessment from the Red Cross or RACES groups.
The next message will be posted either Thursday Night or Friday Morning
depending on the extent of the threat and the state of on-going SKYWARN
Operations. Below is the High Wind Warning and Hazardous Weather Outlook
statements:
WWUS71 KBOX 131057 CCA
NPWBOX
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
553 AM EST THU NOV 13 2003…CORRECTION FOR TYPO
…HIGH WINDS BEGINNING AFTER SUNRISE…
AT DAYBREAK…STRONG LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED NEAR TORONTO…WITH ITS
TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE BERKSHIRES. THIS SHARP COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE…WITH WINDS ABRUPTLY SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST…THEN WEST
TONIGHT. IN ADDITION…WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH
AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL RAPIDLY
INTENSIFY TODAY…AS IT MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
THUS…THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY…WITH GUSTS 50
TO 60 MPH. THESE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.
CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-131821-
BARNSTABLE MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-BRISTOL RI-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-
CHESHIRE NH-DUKES MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
EASTERN KENT RI-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-HARTFORD CT-
NANTUCKET MA-NEWPORT RI-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SUFFOLK MA-TOLLAND CT-
WASHINGTON RI-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN KENT RI-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-WINDHAM CT-
554 AM EST THU NOV 13 2003
…HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT…
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE
ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP
AROUND MIDDAY…WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH AND CONTINUING INTO
TONIGHT.
A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR, WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER AT ANY
TIME. DAMAGE TO TREES, POWER LINES, AND PROPERTY ARE POSSIBLE WITH
WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE.
THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO DRIVE…
ESPECIALLY HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS VANS…RECREATIONAL VEHICLES
AND TRACTOR TRAILERS. BE CAREFUL WHEN DRIVING OVER BRIDGES OR
OVERPASSES.
THE STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. HAVE EXTRA BATTERIES AND
FLASHLIGHTS READY IN CASE YOUR NEIGHBORHOOD LOSES POWER.
STRONG WIND CAN BLOW AROUND LOOSE OBJECTS. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO SECURE
TRASH CANS, LAWN FURNITURE, AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.
$$
NOCERA
FLUS41 KBOX 131126
HWOBOX
CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-141000-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
625 AM EST THU NOV 13 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE…
MASSACHUSETTS EAST OF BERKSHIRE COUNTY…NORTHEAST CONNECTICUT AND
RHODE ISLAND.
.DAY ONE…
A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ALL OF OUR
FORECAST AREA. REFER TO THE STATEMENT UNDER THE WMO HEADER WWUS71
NPWBOX.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR BEGINNING LATE THIS
MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS IN THE 50 TO 60
MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…ESPECIALLY IN
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS…AND ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COAST. THESE WINDS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING DOWN TREES…
BRANCHES AND POWER LINES AND CAUSE NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES.
STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS…BAYS…
HARBORS…AND SOUNDS. SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET ARE FORECAST FOR THE
WATERS JUST OFF THE COASTLINE…OUT TO 25 NAUTICAL MILES. THIS MAY
BE DANGEROUS FOR MARINERS IN SMALLER VESSELS OR FOR THOSE WITH LESS
EXPERIENCE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…
STRONG AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON…WE WILL NEED TO WAIT AND SEE IF THE WARNING WILL NEED TO
BE EXTENDED…OR IF A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE…NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS
HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO ANOTHER WIND EVENT IF THIS STORM
STRENGTHENS AGAIN OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON WEDNESDAY.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT…
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED FOR THE WIND EVENT TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT…AND POSSIBLY INTO FRIDAY. AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS
AND OTHER SKYWARN SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO RELAY REPORTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OF WIND DAMAGE…INCLUDING TREES OR WIRES
DOWNED…LARGE LIMBS DOWNED…ROOF OR WINDOW DAMAGE…ETC. ALSO…
REPORT ANY SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH OR WIND GUSTS OF 58
MPH OR MORE.
$$
GAF
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Southeast Massachusetts ARES District Emergency Coordinator
SEMARA ARES Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo 1